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Updated on Monday, May 10, 2021
In May 2020 — a month and a half after the coronavirus outbreak was declared a pandemic — the number of passengers screened at Transportation Security Administration checkpoints was just 10%, on average, of the total in May of the previous year.
This put an immense strain on the U.S. hospitality industry, including Airbnb hosts. Through March 2021, an average of more than five times as many passengers were flying per day compared to May 2020. But despite the uptick in travelers, a new MagnifyMoney analysis of Airbnb data shows that short-term rentals cratered in some of the markets examined. In three markets, the number of active short-term rentals was down 40% or more since last May.
But the coronavirus crisis isn’t the only reason for the tough rental market. In many markets, new laws and regulations have complicated the process of running short-term rentals.
- Key findings
- Short-term rental listings fell in 19 of 20 U.S. markets
- Average minimum stay lengths skyrocketed in certain markets
- Despite rough year for short-term rentals, owning a home can still be a good investment
- Short-term rental markets remain depressed across the U.S., despite an uptick in travelers. The number of active Airbnb listings dropped in 19 of 20 short-term rental markets examined between May 2020 and March 2021. Only Broward County in Florida registered an uptick in active short-term rental listings during this period.
- The New York metro area was a casualty in the short-term rental market. In Jersey City, N.J., the number of active listings fell by 61% — most among the 20 markets examined. Meanwhile, listings fell by 31% in New York — the fourth-biggest drop.
- Short-term rental markets did best in places that rely heavily on the hospitality industry. Broward County was up 2%, while Clark County in Nevada (down 10%) and New Orleans (down 11%) registered the smallest drops in active Airbnb listings.
- While the majority of markets examined registered a decrease in the number of listings, some short-term rental owners may have seen an increase in business. In California’s Santa Cruz County, as well as in San Diego, the average number of reviews per listing increased the most from May 2020 to March 2021.
- While the short-term rental market took a beating, the overall housing market was good to homeowners in many of these markets. In San Diego, Columbus, Ohio, and Santa Cruz County in California, median home values were up 11% or higher between May 2020 and March 2021 — the highest among those examined.
Short-term rental listings fell in 19 of 20 U.S. markets
Before the pandemic, research appeared to show that Airbnbs were harming local housing markets, despite being a way for vacationers to save and for investors to make money.
As seen by the thousands of listings across markets that make entire apartments or homes available for much of the year, becoming an Airbnb host became fairly popular. But the pandemic changed the economics of owning a short-term rental. According to MagnifyMoney research, the number of active listings fell in 19 of the 20 markets examined.
In some markets, changes were more dramatic. For example, the number of active listings fell by 61% in Jersey City, N.J., between May 2020 and March 2021.
But Jersey City wasn’t the only place where short-term rental owners decided — or were forced — to do something else with their properties. In Seattle and Oakland, Calif., the number of active listings fell by 42% and 40%, respectively, over the same period.
In June 2020, New York City and Airbnb settled an ongoing legal battle over a law intended to help the city crack down on illegal short-term rentals. This may have encouraged Airbnb hosts to drop out of the market and could explain part of the 31% drop in listings between May 2020 and March 2021. Jersey City, likewise, enacted stricter regulations on short-term rentals in 2019 that went into effect on Jan. 1, 2021, likely helping to explain the massive drop in listings there.
In other similarly sunny locales, the short-term rental markets remained relatively robust, even amid decreases. In Clark County, Nevada — which includes Las Vegas — the number of active listings fell by 10%. Meanwhile, in Hawaii (note that this market includes the entire state), the number of listings fell by just 11%.
Airbnb hosts wondering whether to keep going or sell should make sure they’re thinking about both now and the future, says LendingTree chief economist Tendayi Kapfidze.
“Understanding if the challenges are due to short-term or longer-term issues would be key in making a decision,” he says. “In either case, sell before losing the property to foreclosure. In a strong housing market, you could make a profit depending on when you bought and local conditions.”
Number of reviews per listing dropped, too
Along with the number of active listings, the number of reviews per listing fell in three-fourths (14 of 20) of the markets examined. In New Orleans, for example, active listings received an average of 2.1 reviews a month in May 2020, but that figure fell to 1.7 in March 2021 — one of the biggest drops across the U.S. markets.
While not every visitor leaves a review, the average number of reviews per listing is a good proxy for how busy listings are. In New Orleans, not only did the number of listings fall significantly, but so did the number of people visiting short-term rentals and leaving reviews.
The state of Hawaii saw the steepest decline in reviews per listing, falling from an average of 1.4 to 1.1 — a 22% decline.
But not all short-term rental markets suffered a dip in both listings and reviews per listing, with San Diego being a notable exception. The number of active listings there fell by 25%, but reviews per listing increased by 7%, on average. This could mean that as less appealing or competitive listings went off the market, the best listings received more customers.
Average minimum stay lengths skyrocketed in certain markets
A significant change in how short-term rentals were operated between May 2020 and March 2021 was in the average number of minimum nights that guests were required to stay.
As many short-term listings were leaving the market, the ones that stuck around required longer minimum length stays. In 15 of the 20 markets analyzed, the average minimum nights required to book a short-term rental increased.
In some cases, the average stay required to book a short-term rental increased due to changes in legislation. That was the case in New York and Jersey City, where the average minimum length of stay went from single digits to above 20 — increases of 237% and 195%, respectively.
Denver is another city that adopted new rules around running short-term rentals. In Colorado’s capital, hosts can only rent out primary residences, which may have impacted how locals operated their short-term rentals.
Not all cities that saw an uptick in the minimum required length of stay enacted new legislation, though. In Seattle, the average minimum required nights to stay in an Airbnb went from 11.3 to 12.8, increasing by 14% during the 10 months covering May 2020 and March 2021.
In Broward County, Columbus, Ohio, Clark County, Nevada, and New Orleans, the average minimum required stay length fell over the period analyzed. These markets tended to cater to short-term stays already with average minimum lengths of roughly less than a week.
Despite rough year for short-term rentals, owning a home can still be a good investment
While the short-term rental market has been a tough one, owners of homes have not necessarily had difficulty making the most of their investment. In some of those same cities or regions where the number of short-term rentals crashed, home values soared.
In fact, MagnifyMoney’s analysis of Zillow data shows that the average home value was up in 19 of the 20 markets analyzed. (It’s important to note that the markets don’t align perfectly because the Airbnb and Zillow data were tracked differently, but researchers went with the nearest or most similar comparison when possible.)
The San Diego and Columbus, Ohio, housing markets, in particular, were looking good for sellers, with median home values increasing by 12% from May 2020 to March 2021.
Despite the volatility between May 2020 and March 2021, now could be a good time to get into the short-term rental market, Kapfidze says.
“Travel demand will be higher than last year, and there is a lot of pent-up demand,” Kapfidze says. “Hotels may be close to capacity, and some travelers may still want a measure of distancing from public spaces. Dynamics will vary by location, though, so make sure you understand your local market.”
MagnifyMoney researchers analyzed Inside Airbnb data across 20 short-term rental markets to estimate changes between May 2020 and March 2021.
Researchers used the Inside Airbnb data to estimate the number of active listings. Researchers then compared those active listings across price, average monthly reviews, minimum required stay length and average days available to rent.
Researchers chose May 2020 to March 2021 to determine how the coronavirus crisis may have affected these markets. Active listings were defined as any listing with at least one review.
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